Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2023 at 4pm UK

RZD Arena

Russia
2 - 0
Iraq

Miranchuk (50'), Pinyaev (58')
Glebov (90+2')
Kuzyaev (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bayesh (45'), Hussein (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Russia and Iraq.

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Iran 1-1 Russia
Thursday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Iraq

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Kuwait
Friday, December 30 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
Russia	Draw	Iraq
55.15% ( -0.16)	25.6% ( 0.05)	19.24% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 43.2% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.54% (

-0.05)

58.46% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.95% (

-0.04)

79.05% (

0.04)

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

-0.09)

21.28% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79% (

-0.14)

54.21% (

0.14)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.88% (

0.1)

45.12% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.97% (

0.07)

81.03% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Russia 55.14%

Iraq 19.24%

Draw 25.6%

Russia	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 14.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 55.14%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 19.24%