The US have not lost consecutive fixtures since 2019, and we do not expect them to be troubled by a Saudi Arabian side whose talent on paper does not appear to match up well against the Americans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for USA had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest USA win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	USA
45.39% ( 0.03)	23.45% ( 0.01)	31.16% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 61.69% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.17% (

-0.04)

39.83% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.81% (

-0.04)

62.19% (

0.04)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

-0.01)

17.88% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.34% (

-0.01)

48.65% (

0.01)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

-0.04)

24.87% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

-0.05)

59.48% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 45.39%

USA 31.16%

Draw 23.45%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	USA
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 45.39%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.16%