International Friendly
Jun 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: USA vs. Grenada Saturday, June 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: USA 2-0 Morocco
These are two of the highest-ranked teams in their respective regions, but the Americans have more individual quality across the board and are a challenging side to break down on home soil.
It is hard to know how good The Atlas Lions genuinely are, given that most of their encounters have been versus African teams, and we expect it will be difficult for them to find ways through an organised and talented US squad.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 43.12% . A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 27.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (7.88%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%) , while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (11.07%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
Result USA Draw Morocco 43.12% ( -0.17) 29.67% ( 0.02) 27.2% ( 0.15)
Both teams to score 40.85% ( 0.02)
34.38% ( -0.01) 65.62% ( 0.02)
15.68% ( -0.01) 84.32% ( 0.01)
69.66% ( -0.1) 30.34% ( 0.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.48% ( -0.12) 66.52% ( 0.12)
58.64% ( 0.12) 41.36% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.12% ( 0.1) 77.88% ( -0.1)
USA 43.12%
Morocco 27.2%
Draw 29.66%
USA Draw Morocco 1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.29% Total : 43.12% 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.54% 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.66% 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.2%
How you voted: USA vs Morocco
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