We said: USA 0-1 Uruguay
As good as the Americans looked at home to Morocco, La Celeste will be a much tougher unit to get through, as they follow you everywhere and do not allow you a ton of space.
We anticipate it will be a tight affair with few chances both ways, but that should favour Uruguay, who know how to win games ugly, while the US tend to get frustrated when they are out of rhythm.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for USA had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest USA win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.