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World Cup
Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Feb 1, 2022 at 10.14am UK
 
Saudi Arabia national football team

Japan
2 - 0
Saudi Arabia

Minamino (32'), Ito (50')
Itakura (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Albulayhi (4'), Babhir (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Japan 1-0 Saudi Arabia

 These are two evenly matched teams, who could both be qualified for the World Cup at the end of this round, but we are giving the Samurai Warriors a slight edge, primarily because they have been a little better when it comes to limiting the amount of quality scoring opportunities of their opponents. In their 10 visits to the Land of the Rising Sun, the Saudis have lost nine times to the Japanese and given how close the standings are, expect to see a little more urgency from the Samurai Blue, who do not have the luxury of holding a slight cushion in the table, like The Arabian Falcons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawSaudi Arabia
54.57%23.33%22.1%
Both teams to score 53.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45%46.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17%68.83%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05%16.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97%47.03%
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71%35.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Score Analysis
    Japan 54.57%
    Saudi Arabia 22.1%
    Draw 23.32%
JapanDrawSaudi Arabia
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.42%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.34%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 54.57%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.32%
0-1 @ 6.23%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.1%

How you voted: Japan vs Saudi Arabia

Japan
71.3%
Draw
13.1%
Saudi Arabia
15.6%
122
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2021 6pm
Third Round
Saudi Arabia
1-0
Japan
Albirakan (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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