MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:54:04| >> :60:44:44:
South Korea national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 12pm UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Uruguay national football team

South Korea
1 - 2
Uruguay

In-beom (51')
Kang-in (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coates (10'), Vecino (63')
Coates (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between South Korea and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 2-2 Colombia
Friday, March 24 at 11am in International Friendlies

Uruguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 1-1 Uruguay
Friday, March 24 at 10.30am in International Friendlies

We said: South Korea 1-1 Uruguay

 There was very little separating the two nations at the World Cup, with South Korea finishing higher in the group by goals scored alone, and so we expect a closely-contested match. Both teams drew in their most recent outing, and given that they are very evenly-matched, a similar result is likely on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawUruguay
43.04% (0.437 0.44) 27.49% (-0.07 -0.07) 29.47% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 47.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.4% (0.132 0.13)57.6% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63% (0.103 0.1)78.37% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.292 0.29)26.51% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.382 0.38)61.7% (-0.378 -0.38)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95% (-0.202 -0.2)35.05% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-0.214 -0.21)71.8% (0.21900000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 43.03%
    Uruguay 29.47%
    Draw 27.48%
South KoreaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.47%

How you voted: South Korea vs Uruguay

South Korea
63.0%
Draw
20.4%
Uruguay
16.7%
54
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2022 1pm
Group H
Uruguay
0-0
South Korea

Caceres (57')
Oct 12, 2018 12pm
International Friendlies
South Korea
2-1
Uruguay
Eui-jo (66'), Woo-young (80')
Vecino (72')
Nandez (27'), Muslera (65'), Bentancur (76')
rhs 2.0
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