MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 06:06:49| >> :60:2868:2868:
South Korea national football team
International Friendly
Nov 11, 2022 at 11am UK
Hwaseong Stadium
Iceland national football team

South Korea
1 - 0
Iceland

Song (33')
Son (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorvaldsson (76'), Magnusson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between South Korea and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 27 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Iceland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iceland 1-0 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: South Korea 1-0 Iceland

 South Korea still do not have their full squad in place, but they will fancy their chances of overcoming an understrength Iceland on Friday. We are not expecting there to be much between the two sides, though, with perhaps just the one goal separating them at the end of the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawIceland
59.82% (-0.152 -0.15) 23.69% (-0.026 -0.03) 16.49% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 43.61% (0.398 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (0.34699999999999 0.35)55.31% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.282 0.28)76.52% (-0.285 -0.28)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.070999999999998 0.07)18.24% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72% (0.124 0.12)49.28% (-0.127 -0.13)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.35% (0.44 0.44)46.65% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78% (0.332 0.33)82.22% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 59.8%
    Iceland 16.49%
    Draw 23.69%
South KoreaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 14.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 12.31% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.8%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: South Korea vs Iceland

South Korea
70.4%
Draw
14.8%
Iceland
14.8%
27
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 11am
Iceland
1-5
South Korea
Aron Gudjohnsen (55')
Kyu-Sung (15'), Chang-hoon (27'), Seung-ho (29'), Kim (75'), Eom (85')
rhs 2.0
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