Friendlies 3
Mar 24, 2023 at 6am UK
Stade Pater Te Hono Nui
Tahiti2 - 1New Caledonia
Tinirauarii (30', 76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Makalu (33')
Forest (61')
Forest (61')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Tahiti and New Caledonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tahiti 0-2 New Caledonia
Tuesday, March 21 at 6am in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 21 at 6am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tahiti 0-2 New Caledonia
Tuesday, March 21 at 6am in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 21 at 6am in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Tahiti had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Tahiti win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tahiti | Draw | New Caledonia |
36.72% ( 0.03) | 24.85% ( 0.07) | 38.42% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.28% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
