International Friendly
Jun 11, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Uruguay5 - 0Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
We said: Uruguay 3-0 Panama
Given the circumstances involving Panama and the little amount of time between their fixtures, this should be a comfortable victory for the hosts on Saturday. Uruguay are in excellent form and would be expected to win against Panama regardless, but in this situation, they will be expected to come out with a comprehensive victory by a relatively wide margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Panama |
60.58% ( 0.04) | 22.6% ( 0) | 16.83% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( -0.08) | 50.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( -0.07) | 72.58% ( 0.07) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( -0.02) | 16.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.11% ( -0.03) | 45.89% ( 0.03) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.55% ( -0.09) | 43.45% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.33% ( -0.08) | 79.67% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Uruguay 60.57%
Panama 16.83%
Draw 22.59%
| Uruguay | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.83% |
How you voted: Uruguay vs Panama
Uruguay
92.3%Draw
0.0%Panama
7.7%26
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2019 12am
