MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:34:50| >> :60:154:154:
Uruguay national football team
International Friendly
Jun 11, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Panama national football team

Uruguay
5 - 0
Panama

Cavani (39', 48' pen.), de la Cruz (58'), Gomez (68'), Rossi (77')
Torreira (49'), Ugarte (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nazario Cordoba Welch (33'), Tello Rojas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Uruguay and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

Last Six:
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Panama

Last Six:
Last Game: Panama 5-0 Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Uruguay 3-0 Panama

 Given the circumstances involving Panama and the little amount of time between their fixtures, this should be a comfortable victory for the hosts on Saturday. Uruguay are in excellent form and would be expected to win against Panama regardless, but in this situation, they will be expected to come out with a comprehensive victory by a relatively wide margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawPanama
60.58% (0.035000000000004 0.04) 22.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 16.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.33% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)50.67% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42% (-0.067 -0.07)72.58% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)45.89% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.55% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)43.45% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.33% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)79.67% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 60.57%
    Panama 16.83%
    Draw 22.59%
UruguayDrawPanama
1-0 @ 12.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 7.04% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 16.83%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Panama

Uruguay
92.3%
Draw
0.0%
Panama
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2019 12am
Uruguay
3-0
Panama
Gomez (19'), Suarez (69'), Valverde (79')
Vecino (7')
rhs 2.0
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