World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Mar 31, 2022 at 2.05am UK

Panama
1 - 0
Canada

Torres (49')
Davis (15'), Martinez (47'), Cummings (57'), Carrasquilla (89'), Luis Rodriguez (90+5'), Mejia (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cavallini (16'), Osorio (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

Last Six:

Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Next Game: Panama vs. Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

Last Six:

Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Next Game: Canada vs. Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Goals are at a premium when these sides face off in Panama, with six of those meetings ending in a 0-0 draw. Even though the Canadians can improve their chances of a good World Cup draw with a victory, the most important thing for this group heading to Qatar is to stay healthy, so we expect a conservative match from both teams, who have little to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panama in this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	Canada
38.38%	28.61%	33%

Both teams to score 45.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.33%

60.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.26%

80.74%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4%

30.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16%

66.84%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.9%

34.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.21%

70.78%

Score Analysis

Panama 38.38%

Canada 33%

Draw 28.61%

Panama	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.38%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.33% Total : 33%