Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.