J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 29, 2022 at 9am UK
Tosu Stadium
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Gamba Osaka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Gamba Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Jubilo Iwata vs. Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Gamba Osaka vs. Yokohama
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
49.6% ( 0.26) | 26.96% ( 0.04) | 23.44% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 44.75% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
