J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 21, 2022 at 6am UK
Kincho Stadium
Cerezo3 - 1Gamba Osaka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Gamba Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Gamba Osaka vs. Yokohama
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
46.77% ( -0.52) | 27.71% ( 0.53) | 25.53% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.63% ( -1.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.71% ( -1.81) | 60.29% ( 1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.54% ( -1.4) | 80.46% ( 1.4) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% ( -1.07) | 25.85% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% ( -1.47) | 60.82% ( 1.47) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.2% ( -1.03) | 39.8% ( 1.03) |