Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.