Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sagan Tosu
40.46% ( -0.32)	27.46% ( 0.14)	32.07% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 48.82% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.29% (

-0.48)

56.7% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.34% (

-0.39)

77.66% (

0.39)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

-0.4)

27.48% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

-0.52)

62.97% (

0.52)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32% (

-0.13)

32.68% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77% (

-0.14)

69.23% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 40.45%

Sagan Tosu 32.07%

Draw 27.46%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.45%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.07%