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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 17, 2021 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
3 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
26.38%29.62%43.99%
Both teams to score 40.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.19%65.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.55%84.45%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8%42.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4%78.6%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 26.38%
    Nagoya Grampus 43.99%
    Draw 29.61%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 26.38%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 12.63%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.61%
0-1 @ 15.23%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-3 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.11%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.99%

Head to Head

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Apr 18, 2021 7am
gameweek 10
1-2
Inagaki (85')
Nagasawa (44')
Hayashi (6'), Sakai (45')
Hayashi (24'), Iino (31')
Nov 3, 2020 4am
Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Xavier (85')
Jul 18, 2020 10am
Gameweek 17
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Maeda (62')
Nakatani (55'), Yoshida (83')

Toyoda (55'), Alves (64')
Alves (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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