Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Sagan Tosu
59.2% ( -0.05)	21.94% ( 0.01)	18.86% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.19% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19% (

-0.01)

44.81% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

-0.02)

67.17% (

0.01)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.22% (

-0.02)

14.77% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

-0.04)

43.02% (

0.04)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.4% (

0.03)

37.59% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.63% (

0.03)

74.37% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 59.2%

Sagan Tosu 18.86%

Draw 21.94%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.62% 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 59.2%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.94%	0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.86%