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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Ezequiel (55')
Ben Khalifa (8'), Morishima (67'), Ezequiel (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sekigawa (5')
Pituca (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kashima Antlers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Kashima Antlers

Although Sanfrecce Hiroshima have lost their last four matches, they boast an impressive head-to-head record against Saturday's opponents. They have won their last three meetings with Kashima, including a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture, and we think that they will draw upon that experience to claim another narrow win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Kashima Antlers win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKashima Antlers
50.83% (0.45500000000001 0.46) 26.09% (-0.117 -0.12) 23.08% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (0.142 0.14)56.43% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (0.114 0.11)77.44% (-0.113 -0.11)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.259 0.26)22.28% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.388 0.39)55.73% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.241 -0.24)39.89% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.223 -0.22)76.55% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.81%
    Kashima Antlers 23.09%
    Draw 26.09%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 13.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23.09%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Kashima Antlers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Aug 6, 2022 10am
Gameweek 24
Kashima Antlers
0-2
Hiroshima

Misao (90+5')
Kawamura (84'), Ezequiel (90+5')
Ben Khalifa (7'), Araki (40'), Fujii (45')
May 7, 2022 6am
Nov 3, 2021 6am
Gameweek 35
Hiroshima
1-4
Kashima Antlers
Ezequiel (34')
Fujii (45+2'), Nogami (45+5'), Sasaki (65')
Arthur (3', 50'), Tsunemoto (28'), Araki (71' pen.)
Sekigawa (45+5')
Mar 13, 2021 7am
Gameweek 4
Kashima Antlers
1-1
Hiroshima
Araki (69')
Silva (26'), Sugioka (90+4')
Asano (30')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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