Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
