We said: Feyenoord 3-0 Groningen
Feyenoord have already dispatched three fellow Eredivisie clubs, that all currently sit in the top eight, to reach this stage, so they will rightly fancy their chances of success against their second-tier counterparts this time around.
Groningen have impressed on their journey to the last four, but they face their toughest test yet on Thursday and it is difficult to back against the hosts in Rotterdam.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.