KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Excelsior0 - 2Groningen
Coverage of the KNVB Beker Round of 16 clash between SBV Excelsior and Groningen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Groningen 2-1 Jong Utrecht
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Groningen |
26.39% ( 0.08) | 21.74% ( 0.02) | 51.86% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.37% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
