La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves0 - 2Osasuna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Alaves
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Alaves 1-2 Osasuna
Osasuna are in need of a strong result to act as a potential springboard, and we are backing the visitors to win here. Arrasate's side are a lot better than they have shown this season, and we are expecting them to shade a close contest this weekend to move onto 10 points for the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Osasuna |
45.56% ( 1.15) | 27.66% ( -0.15) | 26.78% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.67% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0.01) | 59.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( 0.01) | 79.8% ( -0.01) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.59) | 26.06% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.89% ( 0.79) | 61.1% ( -0.79) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( -0.83) | 38.23% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.01% ( -0.81) | 74.99% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
Alaves 45.55%
Osasuna 26.78%
Draw 27.66%
| Alaves | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.78% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Osasuna
Alaves
24.3%Draw
37.8%Osasuna
37.8%74
