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Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
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Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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Valencia logo
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Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Alaves logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Alaves

Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves

Thursday's encounter pits a team that has struggled on home turf against a side that has lost their last nine La Liga away matches. While hopes of a victory may be slim in both camps, recent history suggests that Celta Vigo may have the edge after winning their previous five meetings with Alaves, which is why we think that the hosts may sneak over the line to claim three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
42.28% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04) 29.54% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 28.18% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.68% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.15% (-0.176 -0.18)64.85% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.21% (-0.123 -0.12)83.79% (0.124 0.12)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)30.42% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (-0.133 -0.13)66.62% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.113 -0.11)40.09% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.103 -0.1)76.73% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 42.28%
    Alaves 28.17%
    Draw 29.53%
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 12.19% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.53%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Alaves

Celta Vigo
76.3%
Draw
21.3%
Alaves
2.5%
80
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
4-0
Alaves
Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
1-3
Celta Vigo
Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')
Dec 20, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
2-0
Alaves
Araujo (55'), Nolito (61')
Battaglia (20'), Pina (35')
Jun 21, 2020 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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