Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
40.85% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() | 31.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.66% (![]() | 58.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% (![]() | 78.96% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% (![]() | 28.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% (![]() | 63.7% (![]() |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.91% (![]() | 34.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.22% (![]() | 70.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 12.15% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 13.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.28% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |