Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Alaves |
36.91% ( -0.62) | 30.45% ( 0.31) | 32.64% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 40.82% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.41% ( -0.88) | 66.59% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.01% ( -0.6) | 84.98% ( 0.6) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.39% ( -0.87) | 34.61% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.67% ( -0.94) | 71.33% ( 0.94) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.42% ( -0.26) | 37.57% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.64% ( -0.26) | 74.35% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.44% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.73% Total : 32.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |