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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Girona logo

Almeria
3 - 2
Girona

Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Ramazani (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Herrera (5'), Bueno (36'), Espinosa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Girona

 With both sides desperate for the win, we are predicting a cagey game, with neither side wanting to overcommit and leave themselves vulnerable on the counter. Almeria have looked better going forward in recent weeks, while Girona are always dangerous with Stuani on the pitch, so a score draw would seem to be a plausible outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawGirona
46.36% (0.409 0.41) 26.5% (-0.117 -0.12) 27.13% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (0.282 0.28)55.1% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (0.232 0.23)76.35% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (0.319 0.32)23.73% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (0.454 0.45)57.87% (-0.454 -0.45)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.56% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (-0.087 -0.09)72.33% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.35%
    Girona 27.13%
    Draw 26.5%
AlmeriaDrawGirona
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Almeria vs Girona

Almeria
48.6%
Draw
31.4%
Girona
20.0%
105
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Girona

Fernandes (39'), Bunuel (43'), Robertone (52'), Samu (56')

Kebe (67'), Sylla (89')
Jun 2, 2021 8pm
Girona
3-0
Almeria
Joel Barcenas (3'), Couto (5'), Sylla (65')
Juanpe (52'), Franquesa (54')

Balliu (27'), Ramazani (30'), Makaridze (85')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-1
Almeria

Terrats (49')
Espinosa (90+4')
Sadiq (72')
Samu (27'), Morlanes (50'), Villar (90+4'), Maras (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona22143560243645
4Athletic Bilbao22118333201341
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7GironaGirona229493130131
8Osasuna227962731-430
9Mallorca2293101928-930
10Real BetisBetis227872528-329
11Real Sociedad2284101819-128
12Sevilla227782430-628
13Celta Vigo2274113135-425
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2265112736-923
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2256112534-921
19Valencia2247112237-1519
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215
> La Liga Full Table


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