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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Almeria

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 0
Almeria

Williams (10'), Sancet (17'), Williams (62'), Vesga (84' pen.)
Alvarez (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Robertone (40'), Fernandes (57'), Puigmal (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Almeria
Saturday, September 17 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Almeria

We expect a comfortable victory for Athletic on Friday, with their form and confidence very high after quickly adapting to Valverde's management once again. The visitors have failed to score in each of their last three matches and that run is likely to continue against a solid outfit away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlmeria
57.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 18.26% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.89% (0.012 0.01)50.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.09% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)80.05%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 57.6%
    Almeria 18.26%
    Draw 24.12%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 13.77%
2-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 57.6%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Almeria

Athletic Bilbao
85.0%
Draw
10.2%
Almeria
4.8%
167
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2015 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Almeria
Etxeita (9'), Rico (26')
Gomez (19'), Laporte (85')
Balenziaga (47' og.)
Dubarbier (13'), Velez (48'), Soriano (80'), Hemed (90'), Partey (93')
Velez (91')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
May 18, 2014 5pm
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Athletic Bilbao
6-1
Almeria
Mikel Rico (6'), Herrera (11'), Laporte (30'), Aduriz (52'), Gomez (68', 86' pen.)
San Jose (34'), Mikel Rico (63')
Barbosa (34')
Torsiglieri (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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