Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Real Betis in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Betis.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Almeria |
53.45% ( 0.18) | 24.35% ( -0.08) | 22.2% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.32% ( 0.23) | 50.68% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.41% ( 0.2) | 72.58% ( -0.2) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( 0.15) | 18.9% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.61% ( 0.26) | 50.39% ( -0.26) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% ( 0.03) | 37.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% ( 0.03) | 74.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 45 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 41 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | GironaGirona | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 31 |
8 | Osasuna | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
9 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 29 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 19 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |