La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
We said: Girona 1-2 Real Valladolid
Girona's injury list is fairly lengthy at the moment, but Real Valladolid could have a full squad for this match, and we just have a feeling that the visitors could shade this contest. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a home win or a draw, but we are backing Real Valladolid to triumph.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.46% . A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.47%) . The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result Girona Draw Real Valladolid 45.46% ( -0.07) 26.52% ( 0.03) 28.01% ( 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.7% ( -0.05)
45.32% ( -0.08) 54.68% ( 0.08)
24% ( -0.07) 76% ( 0.07)
76.02% ( -0.07) 23.98% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.78% ( -0.1) 58.22% ( 0.1)
65.37% ( -0.01) 34.63% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.65% ( -0.01) 71.35% ( 0.01)
Girona 45.46%
Real Valladolid 28.02%
Draw 26.52%
Girona Draw Real Valladolid 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.46% 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.52% 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.02%
How you voted: Girona vs Real Valladolid
Girona
Draw
Real Valladolid
126
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 06:05:35
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