As Atletico are unbeaten in pre-season to date, and now approaching full fitness, they can take advantage of Juve's injury problems and difficulties in defence: in the post-Chiellini and De Ligt era, the Bianconeri have conceded twice in both of their last two games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Atletico Madrid
46.07% ( 0.36)	25.67% ( 0.02)	28.26% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 52.45% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

-0.3)

51.18% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

-0.26)

73.02% (

0.26)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

0.04)

22.19% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

0.06)

55.6% (

-0.06)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41% (

-0.45)

32.59% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87% (

-0.51)

69.12% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Juventus 46.06%

Atletico Madrid 28.26%

Draw 25.66%

Juventus	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.06%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.26%