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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Spotify Camp Nou
Atletico Madrid logo

Barcelona
1 - 0
Atletico

Torres (44')
Alonso (28'), Busquets (57'), Raphinha (77'), Gavi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Griezmann (75'), Savic (79'), Gimenez (81'), Reguilon (83'), Barrios (83'), Morata (86'), Niguez (90+3'), Grbic (90+1')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, April 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid

 Unless something extraordinary happens, Barcelona are going to win the title this season, but Atletico will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat here. Simeone's side have been the best team in the division over the last few weeks, and we are therefore finding it very difficult to back them to lose on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
50.31% (0.253 0.25) 23.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.58% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 59.57% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (-0.25 -0.25)41.19% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.255 -0.26)63.58% (0.254 0.25)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.321 -0.32)28.64% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.404 -0.4)64.45% (0.404 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 50.31%
    Atletico Madrid 26.58%
    Draw 23.11%
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Atletico

Barcelona
55.1%
Draw
26.5%
Atletico Madrid
18.4%
136
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 8pm
gameweek 16
Atletico
0-1
Barcelona

Correa (79'), Molina (85')
Savic (90+2')
Dembele (22')
Araujo (56'), Christensen (82'), Raphinha (87')
Torres (90+2')
Feb 6, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 23
Barcelona
4-2
Atletico
Alba (10'), Gavi (21'), Araujo (43'), Alves (49')
Alba (52'), de Jong (72'), Gavi (83')
Alves (69')
Carrasco (8'), Suarez (58')
Wass (89'), Herrera (90')
Oct 2, 2021 8pm
gameweek 8
Atletico
2-0
Barcelona
Lemar (23'), Suarez (44')
De Paul (45+1'), Koke (78')

Gavi (20')
May 8, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Barcelona
0-0
Atletico

Moriba (58'), Alba (82'), Pique (82')

Niguez (35'), Felipe (46'), Koke (65')
Nov 21, 2020 8pm
gameweek 10
Atletico
1-0
Barcelona
Carrasco (45+3')
Koke (9'), Carrasco (26'), Savic (79'), Gimenez (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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