Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
31.82% ( 0.68) | 26.6% ( 0.36) | 41.58% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% ( -1.24) | 53.42% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( -1.06) | 74.95% ( 1.05) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% ( -0.16) | 31.17% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.19) | 67.51% ( 0.18) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -1.08) | 25.36% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( -1.51) | 60.15% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |