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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Atletico Madrid logo

Girona
0 - 1
Atletico


Stuani (90+11'), Gazzaniga (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (90+1')
Llorente (57'), Savic (66'), De Paul (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Girona
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-2 Atletico Madrid

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Atletico due to Girona's home record this season, but the Red and Whites are in impressive form at the moment and will fancy their chances of claiming another three points on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
31.82% (0.676 0.68) 26.6% (0.361 0.36) 41.58% (-1.042 -1.04)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.868 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (-1.235 -1.24)53.42% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (-1.057 -1.06)74.95% (1.053 1.05)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)31.17% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.186 -0.19)67.51% (0.182 0.18)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-1.084 -1.08)25.36% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.511 -1.51)60.15% (1.507 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Girona 31.82%
    Atletico Madrid 41.58%
    Draw 26.59%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.399 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.58%

How you voted: Girona vs Atletico

Girona
12.0%
Draw
14.8%
Atletico Madrid
73.1%
216
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
3-3
Girona
Kalinic (12'), Correa (66'), Griezmann (84')
Hernandez (69'), Griezmann (85')
Fernandez (37'), Stuani (59'), Doumbia (88')
Iraizoz (90'), Porro (90')
Jan 9, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Lozano (34')
Griezmann (9')
Montero (27'), Godin (67')
Dec 2, 2018 3.15pm
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Stuani (45' pen.)
Ramalho (82' og.)
Griezmann (17'), Koke (41'), Partey (72'), Costa (89'), Niguez (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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