Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
27.76% (![]() | 27.69% (![]() | 44.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% (![]() | 59.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.49% (![]() | 79.51% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% (![]() | 37.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% (![]() | 73.98% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% (![]() | 26.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% (![]() | 61.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.71% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.76% | 1-1 @ 12.93% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 13.07% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.71% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 44.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |