Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
27.76% ( 0.02) | 27.69% ( 0.17) | 44.55% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% ( -0.58) | 59.05% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.49% ( -0.45) | 79.51% ( 0.45) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.31) | 37.2% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( -0.3) | 73.98% ( 0.3) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( -0.36) | 26.4% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( -0.48) | 61.56% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.76% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 44.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |