La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 19, 2023 at 8pm UK

Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona
2 - 0
Cadiz

Roberto (43'), Lewandowski (45+1')
de Jong (66'), Kessie (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marti (24'), Alcaraz (53'), Fede (82')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Girona
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz will believe that they have a better chance of picking up a positive in this match due to Barcelona's Europa League involvement on Thursday night, but we are finding it difficult to back against Xavi's side considering their league form. It might not be a classic, but the Catalan outfit should be able to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 86.95%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 3.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.97%) and 4-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Cadiz
86.95% ( -0.03)	9.55% ( 0.01)	3.5% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 35.66% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.74% (

-0.03)

33.25% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.98% (

-0.03)

55.02% (

0.03)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.84% (

-0.01)

5.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.57% (

-0.03)

20.43% (

0.02)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.6% (

0.02)

62.4% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.17% (

0.01)

91.83% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 86.93%

Cadiz 3.5%

Draw 9.55%

Barcelona	Draw	Cadiz
2-0 @ 14.13% 3-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( -0) 6-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 86.93%	1-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 9.55%	0-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 3.5%