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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Sevilla logo

Almeria
2 - 1
Sevilla

Ramazani (42'), Sadiq (55')
Eguaras (33'), Fernandes (71'), de la Hoz (78'), Baptistao (84'), Samu (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Torres (30')
Lamela (12'), Rekik (15'), Mir (45'), Navas (47'), Angel Carmona (70'), Isco (78'), Delaney (80'), Telles (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 1-1 Almeria
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-2 Sevilla

Sevilla are in need of a victory due to their underwhelming start to the season, but Almeria will certainly be fired up to secure a positive result. We are expecting a close match on Saturday but believe that Sevilla's additional quality will allow them to claim a narrow victory at Power Horse Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawSevilla
42.91% (0.153 0.15) 27.4% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 29.69% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)57.19% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)78.05% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.036000000000001 0.04)26.39% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.048999999999999 0.05)61.54% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.169 -0.17)34.67% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.18 -0.18)71.4% (0.179 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 42.9%
    Sevilla 29.69%
    Draw 27.4%
AlmeriaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.9%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.031999999999998 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 29.69%

How you voted: Almeria vs Sevilla

Almeria
17.0%
Draw
15.0%
Sevilla
68.0%
100
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 8pm
May 17, 2015 6pm
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Iborra (65', 71')
Bifouma (30')
Corona (60'), Ruben (68'), Partey (73'), Dubarbier (83')
Trujillo (75')
Jan 11, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-2
Sevilla

Partey (20')
Iborra (58'), Coke (63')
Vidal (16')
Mar 9, 2014 4pm
Almeria
1-3
Sevilla
Vidal (85')
Dubarbier (38'), Rios (44')
Bacca (31'), Carrico (52'), Gameiro (77')
Navarro (16'), Antonio Reyes (45'), Figueiras (65'), Beto (86')
Oct 6, 2013 4pm
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Gameiro (6'), Rakitic (90')
Iborra (31'), Moreno (71'), Cristoforo (90')
Rodri (23')
Verza (13'), Rodri (20'), Fernandez (52'), Soriano (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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