MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 17:09:08| >> :600:199211:199211:
Real Betis logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Roma logo

Betis
1 - 1
Roma

Canales (34')
Guardado (31'), Joaquin (31'), Miranda (80'), Rodri (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Belotti (53')
Matic (35'), Mancini (43'), Camara (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Betis and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Real Betis 2-2 Roma

With both sides missing key players through injury, a closely-fought contest is set to take place at the Benito Villamarin. The pressure is on Roma to come away with maximum points as they bid to keep their chances of progressing from Group C alive, but we can see Real Betis coming away with at least a point on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawRoma
50.45% (0.137 0.14) 21.65% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.89% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 66.11% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.9% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)33.1% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.16% (-0.118 -0.12)54.84% (0.122 0.12)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)13.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (0.012 0.01)40.63% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (-0.137 -0.14)23.53% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42% (-0.2 -0.2)57.58% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 50.45%
    Roma 27.89%
    Draw 21.65%
Real BetisDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.37% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 50.45%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.19% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.61% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Real Betis vs Roma

Real Betis
50.9%
Draw
24.1%
Roma
25.0%
116
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
Roma
1-2
Betis
Dybala (34' pen.)
Rodriguez (40'), Henrique (88')
Felipe (30')
rhs 2.0
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