Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Espanyol |
58.57% ( -0.43) | 23.13% ( 0.06) | 18.29% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 48.46% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.39% ( 0.29) | 50.61% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.48% ( 0.26) | 72.52% ( -0.26) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( -0.05) | 16.98% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% ( -0.09) | 47.09% ( 0.08) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.38% ( 0.61) | 41.62% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.89% ( 0.53) | 78.1% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 58.56% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |