Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
42.33% ( 0.65) | 27.4% ( 0.15) | 30.27% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 48.35% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.02% ( -0.83) | 56.98% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% ( -0.67) | 77.88% ( 0.66) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.04) | 26.59% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% ( -0.05) | 61.82% ( 0.04) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.87% ( -1.02) | 34.12% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% ( -1.11) | 70.81% ( 1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
12 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |