Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
53.11% ( 1.2) | 25.3% ( -0.06) | 21.59% ( -1.14) |
Both teams to score 47.17% ( -1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( -0.87) | 54.93% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( -0.73) | 76.21% ( 0.72) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( 0.15) | 20.69% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( 0.23) | 53.29% ( -0.23) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.48% ( -1.62) | 40.52% ( 1.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% ( -1.5) | 77.12% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.1% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |