La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Espanyol3 - 2Alaves
We said: Espanyol 1-1 Alaves
Espanyol will be targeting another victory after getting the better of Rayo in their last outing, but we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face an Alaves side who are unbeaten in three matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.79%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
44.4% ( -0.07) | 30.31% ( 0) | 25.29% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 38.26% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.81% ( 0.03) | 68.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.94% ( 0.02) | 86.06% ( -0.02) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( -0.02) | 30.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.77% ( -0.03) | 67.23% ( 0.03) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.39% ( 0.08) | 44.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.38% ( 0.07) | 80.62% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Espanyol 44.4%
Alaves 25.29%
Draw 30.3%
| Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 16.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.4% | 0-0 @ 13.79% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.3% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.29% |
How you voted: Espanyol vs Alaves
Espanyol
37.8%Draw
37.8%Alaves
24.3%74
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 36
Alaves
2-1
Espanyol
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Jun 13, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 28
Espanyol
2-0
Alaves
Aug 25, 2019 4pm
Form Guide
