La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Espanyol3 - 2Alaves
We said: Espanyol 1-1 Alaves
Espanyol will be targeting another victory after getting the better of Rayo in their last outing, but we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face an Alaves side who are unbeaten in three matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.79%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
44.4% ( -0.07) | 30.31% ( 0) | 25.29% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 38.26% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
