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Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 7, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Balaidos
Alaves logo

Celta Vigo
4 - 0
Alaves

Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')

Preview: Celta Vigo vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Alaves' bid to escape the relegation zone in La Liga will continue on Saturday evening when they make the trip to Balaidos to take on Celta Vigo.

The visitors are currently 19th in the table, four points behind 17th-placed Cadiz, while Celta occupy 12th position, picking up 40 points from their 34 league games this term.


Match preview

Celta Vigo coach Eduardo Coudet on February 26, 2022© Reuters

Celta have won 10, drawn 10 and lost 14 of their 34 league matches this season to collect 40 points, which has left them in 12th spot in the table, nine points clear of the relegation zone.

The Sky Blues should be looking up the table rather than down at this stage, as they are only three points behind 10th-placed Valencia, although Eduardo Coudet's side will not be able to repeat last season's eighth-place finish.

Celta's home form this season has been disappointing, picking up just 19 points from 17 matches, which is the fourth-worst record in the division, but they will be welcoming an Alaves outfit with the worst away record this term, with the strugglers collecting just six points from their 17 fixtures.

Coudet's team have picked up four points from their last three league games, beating Athletic Bilbao 2-0 on April 17 before losing to Getafe and drawing with Granada in their next two.

Celta have won their last four La Liga matches against Alaves, including a 2-1 victory in the reverse match between the two sides earlier this season.

Deportivo Alaves' Gonzalo Escalante celebrates scoring their first goal on April 2, 2022© Reuters

Alaves, meanwhile, have boosted their survival hopes with two wins from their last three matches, beating Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal either side of a 2-1 loss at Mallorca.

Julio Velazquez's side are currently 19th in the table, four points behind 17th-placed Cadiz, meaning that they will need to enjoy a strong end to the season to stand a chance of staying in the league.

Alaves will face Espanyol, Levante and Cadiz in their final three La Liga matches of the campaign, and the fixtures against Levante and Cadiz could be particularly crucial, as the two sides are also battling to avoid relegation to the Segunda Division for the 2022-23 campaign.

El Glorioso have been present in each of the last six La Liga campaigns, so their relegation back to the second tier would be somewhat of a surprise, but they have finished 16th in their last two seasons at this level.

Velazquez has delivered six points since taking charge of Alaves at the start of April, and it would be some achievement if he managed to lead the club out of the relegation zone in the final weeks of the season.

Celta Vigo La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Alaves La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Celta Vigo's Franco Cervi celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on September 12, 2021© Reuters

Celta will again be missing Hugo Mallo due to a knee injury, while Santi Mina will be unavailable for the rest of the season, having been sentenced to four years in prison after being found guilty of sexual abuse.

Thiago Galhardo is expected to take Mina's spot alongside Iago Aspas, while Nolito and Denis Suarez could also be introduced into the starting XI for Saturday's fixture.

There are unlikely to be any changes to the back four, though, with Nestor Araujo available despite being withdrawn in the latter stages of the 1-1 draw with Granada.

As for Alaves, Gonzalo Escalante and Ruben Duarte will miss the match through suspension, meaning that there could be starts for Tomas Pina and Facundo Tenaglia.

There are not expected to be any alterations in midfield or further forward, though, with Joselu again set to lead the line with support from Manu Garcia, Edgar Mendez and Luis Rioja.

Head coach Velazquez has plenty of options for change, with Pere Pons, Jason and Martin Aguirregabiria also pushing to be involved in the starting side this weekend.

Celta Vigo possible starting lineup:
Dituro; Vazquez, Aidoo, Araujo, Galan; B Mendez, Tapia, D Suarez, Nolito; Galhardo, Aspas

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Laguardia, Lejeune, Tenaglia; Pina, Loum; Mendez, M Garcia, Rioja; Joselu


SM words green background

We say: Celta Vigo 1-1 Alaves

Alaves desperately need wins at this stage of the season, but they have only been victorious on one occasion on their travels in La Liga this term. The Basque outfit have shown recent improvement, though, and we believe that they will be good enough for a point on Saturday evening.



Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Game History

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Alaves

Celta Vigo
63.0%
Draw
33.3%
Alaves
3.7%
27
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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