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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 at 1pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Celta Vigo logo

Alaves
1 - 2
Celta Vigo

Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Alaves 2-2 Celta Vigo

Both Alaves and Celta Vigo will fancy their chances of securing all three points this weekend, though the visitors will head into this game with a slight psychological edge after winning each of the last three meetings. The two teams played out score draws in their last league matches, and with little to separate them here, another could be on the cards at the Mendizorroza. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
25.9%28.24%45.85%
Both teams to score 43.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.17%61.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.39%81.61%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.66%40.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.04%76.95%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98%27.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62%62.37%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 25.9%
    Celta Vigo 45.85%
    Draw 28.23%
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 5.88%
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 25.9%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 14.26%
0-2 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-3 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.33%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 45.85%

How you voted: Alaves vs Celta Vigo

Alaves
51.0%
Draw
28.6%
Celta Vigo
20.4%
49
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
1-3
Celta Vigo
Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')
Dec 20, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
2-0
Alaves
Araujo (55'), Nolito (61')
Battaglia (20'), Pina (35')
Jun 21, 2020 1pm
Oct 20, 2019 11am
Gameweek 9
Alaves
2-0
Celta Vigo
Magallan (50'), Perez (82')
Wakaso (31'), Duarte (38'), Garcia (45'), Magallan (90'), Perez (93')

Junca (26')
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
0-0
Celta Vigo
Navarro (45'), Duarte (59')
Yokuslu (54'), Mallo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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