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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Villarreal logo

Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Villarreal

Lopez Gonzalez (45'), Iglesias (53'), Aspas (87' pen.)
Beltran (45+1'), Alvarez (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepe (85')
Bailly (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Villarreal

Celta have been one of the best clubs at home in La Liga this season, taking 30 points from 16 games at Balaidos, and they should make it equally as tough for Villarreal here as they did for Barca at the weekend. The visitors are also in fine form though, going unbeaten across their last four games, in what should be a close encounter between two clubs chasing a return to the European stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
35.78% (0.169 0.17) 26.58% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 37.63% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (-0.29 -0.29)52.68% (0.293 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-0.248 -0.25)74.32% (0.25099999999999 0.25)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)28.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)63.97% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.271 -0.27)27.17% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-0.355 -0.35)62.57% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 35.78%
    Villarreal 37.63%
    Draw 26.58%
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.78%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.63%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Villarreal

Celta Vigo
Draw
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
42.5%
Draw
28.8%
Villarreal
28.8%
73
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Villarreal
4-3
Celta Vigo
Cardona (26'), Barry (60'), Jailson (64' og.), Parejo (90+10')
Femenia (55'), Albiol (80'), Gueye (85'), Pepe (90+11')
Iglesias (12'), Mingueza (31'), Starfelt (80')
Moriba (52'), Swedberg (88'), Alvarez (90+8')
May 5, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 34
Celta Vigo
3-2
Villarreal
Aspas (22' pen.), Strand Larsen (39'), Douvikas (82')
Manquillo (25'), Rodriguez (33'), Swedberg (64'), Douvikas (77'), Douvikas (85')
Moreno (12'), Guedes (65')
Comesana (17')
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Villarreal
3-2
Celta Vigo
Pedraza (13'), Mandi (40'), Parejo (48' pen.)
Baena (75'), Comesana (76')
Douvikas (52'), Strand Larsen (57')
Vazquez (46'), Mingueza (72'), Sanchez (82'), Douvikas (85')
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Villarreal
3-1
Celta Vigo
Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico32189553272663
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal321410855451052
6Real BetisBetis3214994540551
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Mallorca33128133138-744
9Real Sociedad33126153237-542
10Rayo Vallecano321011113539-441
11Osasuna3291493946-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol32109133541-639
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla32910133543-837
16AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
17GironaGirona3297163951-1234
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes32611152948-1929
20Real ValladolidValladolid3244242376-5316


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