Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
44.96% (![]() | 23.89% (![]() | 31.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% (![]() | 41.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% (![]() | 64.3% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% (![]() | 18.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.66% (![]() | 50.34% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% (![]() | 25.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% (![]() | 60.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
2-1 @ 9.18% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.38% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 11% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.44% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |