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La Liga
Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Celta Vigo logo

Villarreal
4 - 3
Celta Vigo

Cardona (26'), Barry (60'), Jailson (64' og.), Parejo (90+10')
Femenia (55'), Albiol (80'), Gueye (85'), Pepe (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Iglesias (12'), Mingueza (31'), Starfelt (80')
Moriba (52'), Swedberg (88'), Alvarez (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal
Friday, August 23 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Celta Vigo

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valencia
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo

 Both sides have been impressive this season, and we are expecting a close game on Monday. Villarreal will have home advantage, though, and we believe that will allow the Yellow Submarine to pick up a huge three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
44.96% (0.471 0.47) 23.89% (-0.236 -0.24) 31.15% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 60.12% (0.717 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (0.994 0.99)41.9% (-0.999 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (0.993 0.99)64.3% (-0.999 -1)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.599 0.6)18.87% (-0.603 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (0.993 0.99)50.34% (-0.998 -1)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (0.337 0.34)25.89% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (0.456 0.46)60.87% (-0.46100000000001 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 44.96%
    Celta Vigo 31.15%
    Draw 23.88%
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

Villarreal
61.6%
Draw
21.7%
Celta Vigo
16.7%
198
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 34
Celta Vigo
3-2
Villarreal
Aspas (22' pen.), Strand Larsen (39'), Douvikas (82')
Manquillo (25'), Rodriguez (33'), Swedberg (64'), Douvikas (77'), Douvikas (85')
Moreno (12'), Guedes (65')
Comesana (17')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Villarreal
3-2
Celta Vigo
Pedraza (13'), Mandi (40'), Parejo (48' pen.)
Baena (75'), Comesana (76')
Douvikas (52'), Strand Larsen (57')
Vazquez (46'), Mingueza (72'), Sanchez (82'), Douvikas (85')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Villarreal
3-1
Celta Vigo
Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Strand Larsen (29')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Strand Larsen (68')
Moreno (15')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Villarreal
1-0
Celta Vigo
Parejo (64')
Iborra (34')

Galan (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona87012591621
2Real Madrid85301761118
3Villarreal85211715217
4Atletico MadridAtletico8440124816
5Athletic Bilbao8422128414
6Mallorca842286214
7Osasuna84221213-114
8Real BetisBetis833287112
9Rayo Vallecano824298110
10Celta Vigo83141515010
11AlavesAlaves83141112-110
12GironaGirona8233911-29
13Sevilla8233810-29
14Real Sociedad822467-18
15Getafe814356-17
16Leganes814359-47
17Espanyol8215712-57
18Valencia8125513-85
19Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
20Las PalmasLas Palmas8035916-73
> La Liga Full Table


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