Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.