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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Valencia logo

Elche
0 - 2
Valencia


Nwankwo (47'), Roco (62'), Clerc (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lino (19'), Gonzalo (42' og.)
Musah (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 2-0 Elche
Sunday, April 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-1 Valencia

Elche have been the worst side in La Liga this season, so Valencia will be expecting to claim all three points here. Los Che might have to suffer and endure some difficult moments, but we are backing the away side to secure what would be a vital win at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawValencia
26.22% (-0.087 -0.09) 25.49% (-0.029 -0.03) 48.28% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)51.77% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.041999999999998 0.04)73.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)34.52% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.23% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.067000000000007 0.07)21.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (0.107 0.11)54.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Elche 26.22%
    Valencia 48.27%
    Draw 25.49%
ElcheDrawValencia
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.22%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 11.39%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 48.27%

How you voted: Elche vs Valencia

Elche
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Valencia
83.3%
36
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 9
Valencia
2-2
Elche
Cavani (41' pen., 45+7')
Mamardashvili (26')
Milla (29' pen., 65')
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 29
Elche
0-1
Valencia

Barragan (8'), Gonzalo (45+1'), Fidel (90+3')
Mojica (90+2')
Guedes (50')
Foulquier (27'), Diakhaby (39'), Gil (65')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 17
Valencia
2-1
Elche
Guedes (23'), Piccini (86')
Gomez (34'), Wass (48'), Foulquier (90+2')
Boye (75')
Morente (41'), Roco (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Valencia
1-0
Elche
Wass (22')
Wass (70')

Gonzalo (3'), Barragan (33'), Morente (42'), Marcone (48'), Gonzalez (65'), Cifu (74'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Elche
2-1
Valencia
Josan (19'), Fidel (37')
Guti (77'), Fidel (86'), Barragan (90+3')
Lato (74')
Paulista (45'), Lato (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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