La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
1 - 1
Valladolid

Morente (90+6')
Gumbau (20'), Morente (71'), Milla (90+6'), Mascarell (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Larin (4')
Plano (72'), Mesa (90+5'), Hongla (90+11'), Larin (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Elche
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Espanyol
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Elche 1-1 Real Valladolid

Elche were excellent against Mallorca last time out and will therefore enter this match full of confidence. Real Valladolid were also impressive against Espanyol, though, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here, ultimately backing a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Real Valladolid
36.62% ( -0.06)	26.97% ( 0.01)	36.41% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.01% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

-0.05)

54.25% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

-0.04)

75.65% (

0.04)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48% (

-0.06)

28.52% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7% (

-0.07)

64.3% (

0.07)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

28.64% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

64.45% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Elche 36.61%

Real Valladolid 36.41%

Draw 26.97%

Elche	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.61%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.41%