La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Elche1 - 1Valladolid
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Elche
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Espanyol
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Elche 1-1 Real Valladolid
Elche were excellent against Mallorca last time out and will therefore enter this match full of confidence. Real Valladolid were also impressive against Espanyol, though, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here, ultimately backing a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Valladolid |
36.62% ( -0.06) | 26.97% ( 0.01) | 36.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
