La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 12, 2021 at 1pm UK

Estadi Cornellà-El Prat

Espanyol
1 - 2
Atletico

de Tomas (40')
Moreno Peris (90+6'), Nico (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carrasco (79'), Lemar (90+9')
Hermoso (31'), Kondogbia (82'), Carrasco (90+8'), Felix (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Atletico Madrid
29.93%	27.44%	42.63%

Both teams to score 48.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75%

57.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9%

78.09%

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48%

34.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.76%

71.23%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44%

26.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23%

61.77%

Score Analysis

Espanyol 29.93%

Atletico Madrid 42.63%

Draw 27.43%

Espanyol	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.93%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.63%