La Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona2 - 1Espanyol
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Girona
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 1-1 Espanyol
Espanyol have drawn five of their 13 away La Liga matches during the 2022-23 campaign, and we can see another draw in this contest. Both teams are in disappointing form, but a point apiece in the Catalan contest would not be the worst result in the world for either side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
52.25% ( 0.15) | 24.97% ( -0.03) | 22.77% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% ( -0.01) | 52.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( -0.01) | 74.22% ( 0.01) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.06) | 20.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.65% ( 0.09) | 52.35% ( -0.09) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% ( -0.12) | 38.01% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.22% ( -0.12) | 74.78% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Girona 52.24%
Espanyol 22.77%
Draw 24.97%
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.77% |
How you voted: Girona vs Espanyol
Girona
59.1%Draw
22.7%Espanyol
18.2%22
Form Guide
