La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
6 - 2
Almeria

Castellanos (8'), Tsygankov (34'), Riquelme (36'), Hernandez (43'), Martin (77'), Stuani (79')
Garcia (59')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Ramazani (66'), Bilal Toure (81')
Suarez Charris (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Girona and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Girona
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Betis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona have been strong at home this season, collecting 18 points from 11 matches, and they will be welcoming an Almeria side who have lost seven of their 10 games on their travels. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Girona will navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Almeria
54.17% ( 0.42)	25.19% ( -0.04)	20.63% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 46.22% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.48% (

-0.25)

55.52% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3% (

-0.2)

76.7% (

0.2)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5% (

0.07)

20.5% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.02% (

0.12)

52.98% (

-0.12)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.14% (

-0.55)

41.86% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.69% (

-0.48)

78.31% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Girona 54.16%

Almeria 20.63%

Draw 25.19%

Girona	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.63%